If
you are in ninth grade and live in Dover, Pennsylvania, you are
learning things in your biology class that differ considerably from
what your peers just a few miles away are learning. In particular, you
are learning that Darwin’s theory of evolution provides just one
possible explanation of life, and that another is provided by something
called intelligent design. You are being taught this not because of a
recent breakthrough in some scientist’s laboratory but because the
Dover Area School District’s board mandates it. In October, 2004, the
board decreed that “students will be made aware of gaps/problems in
Darwin’s theory and of other theories of evolution including, but not
limited to, intelligent design.”
While the events in Dover
have received a good deal of attention as a sign of the political
times, there has been surprisingly little discussion of the science
that’s said to underlie the theory of intelligent design, often called
I.D. Many scientists avoid discussing I.D. for strategic reasons. If a
scientific claim can be loosely defined as one that scientists take
seriously enough to debate, then engaging the intelligent-design
movement on scientific grounds, they worry, cedes what it most desires:
recognition that its claims are legitimate scientific ones.
Meanwhile,
proposals hostile to evolution are being considered in more than twenty
states; earlier this month, a bill was introduced into the New York
State Assembly calling for instruction in intelligent design for all
public-school students. The Kansas State Board of Education is weighing
new standards, drafted by supporters of intelligent design, that would
encourage schoolteachers to challenge Darwinism. Senator Rick Santorum,
a Pennsylvania Republican, has argued that “intelligent design is a
legitimate scientific theory that should be taught in science classes.”
An I.D.-friendly amendment that he sponsored to the No Child Left
Behind Act—requiring public schools to help students understand why
evolution “generates so much continuing controversy”—was overwhelmingly
approved in the Senate. (The amendment was not included in the version
of the bill that was signed into law, but similar language did appear
in a conference report that accompanied it.) In the past few years,
college students across the country have formed Intelligent Design and
Evolution Awareness chapters. Clearly, a policy of limited scientific
engagement has failed. So just what is this movement?
First
of all, intelligent design is not what people often assume it is. For
one thing, I.D. is not Biblical literalism. Unlike earlier generations
of creationists—the so-called Young Earthers and scientific
creationists—proponents of intelligent design do not believe that the
universe was created in six days, that Earth is ten thousand years old,
or that the fossil record was deposited during Noah’s flood. (Indeed,
they shun the label “creationism” altogether.) Nor does I.D. flatly
reject evolution: adherents freely admit that some evolutionary change
occurred during the history of life on Earth. Although the movement is
loosely allied with, and heavily funded by, various conservative
Christian groups—and although I.D. plainly maintains that life was
created—it is generally silent about the identity of the creator.
The
movement’s main positive claim is that there are things in the world,
most notably life, that cannot be accounted for by known natural causes
and show features that, in any other context, we would attribute to
intelligence. Living organisms are too complex to be explained by any
natural—or, more precisely, by any mindless—process. Instead, the
design inherent in organisms can be accounted for only by invoking a
designer, and one who is very, very smart.
All of which
puts I.D. squarely at odds with Darwin. Darwin’s theory of evolution
was meant to show how the fantastically complex features of
organisms—eyes, beaks, brains—could arise without the intervention of a
designing mind. According to Darwinism, evolution largely reflects the
combined action of random mutation and natural selection. A random
mutation in an organism, like a random change in any finely tuned
machine, is almost always bad. That’s why you don’t, screwdriver in
hand, make arbitrary changes to the insides of your television. But,
once in a great while, a random mutation in the DNA that makes up an
organism’s genes slightly improves the function of some organ and thus
the survival of the organism. In a species whose eye amounts to nothing
more than a primitive patch of light-sensitive cells, a mutation that
causes this patch to fold into a cup shape might have a survival
advantage. While the old type of organism can tell only if the lights
are on, the new type can detect the direction
of any source of light or shadow. Since shadows sometimes mean
predators, that can be valuable information. The new, improved type of
organism will, therefore, be more common in the next generation. That’s
natural selection. Repeated over billions of years, this process of
incremental improvement should allow for the gradual emergence of
organisms that are exquisitely adapted to their environments and that
look for all the world as though they were designed. By 1870, about a
decade after “The Origin of Species” was published, nearly all
biologists agreed that life had evolved, and by 1940 or so most agreed
that natural selection was a key force driving this evolution.
Advocates
of intelligent design point to two developments that in their view
undermine Darwinism. The first is the molecular revolution in biology.
Beginning in the nineteen-fifties, molecular biologists revealed a
staggering and unsuspected degree of complexity within the cells that
make up all life. This complexity, I.D.’s defenders argue, lies beyond
the abilities of Darwinism to explain. Second, they claim that new
mathematical findings cast doubt on the power of natural selection.
Selection may play a role in evolution, but it cannot accomplish what
biologists suppose it can.
These claims have been
championed by a tireless group of writers, most of them associated with
the Center for Science and Culture at the Discovery Institute, a
Seattle-based think tank that sponsors projects in science, religion,
and national defense, among other areas. The center’s fellows and
advisers—including the emeritus law professor Phillip E. Johnson, the
philosopher Stephen C. Meyer, and the biologist Jonathan Wells—have
published an astonishing number of articles and books that decry the
ostensibly sad state of Darwinism and extoll the virtues of the design
alternative. But Johnson, Meyer, and Wells, while highly visible, are
mainly strategists and popularizers. The scientific leaders of the
design movement are two scholars, one a biochemist and the other a
mathematician. To assess intelligent design is to assess their
arguments.
Michael
J. Behe, a professor of biological sciences at Lehigh University (and a
senior fellow at the Discovery Institute), is a biochemist who writes
technical papers on the structure of DNA. He is the most prominent of
the small circle of scientists working on intelligent design, and his
arguments are by far the best known. His book “Darwin’s Black Box”
(1996) was a surprise best-seller and was named by
National
Review
as one of the hundred best nonfiction books of the twentieth century.
(A little calibration may be useful here; “The Starr Report” also made
the list.)
Not surprisingly, Behe’s doubts about Darwinism
begin with biochemistry. Fifty years ago, he says, any biologist could
tell stories like the one about the eye’s evolution. But such stories,
Behe notes, invariably began with cells, whose own evolutionary origins
were essentially left unexplained. This was harmless enough as long as
cells weren’t qualitatively more complex than the larger, more visible
aspects of the eye. Yet when biochemists began to dissect the inner
workings of the cell, what they found floored them. A cell is packed
full of exceedingly complex structures—hundreds of microscopic
machines, each performing a specific job. The “Give me a cell and I’ll
give you an eye” story told by Darwinists, he says, began to seem
suspect: starting with a cell was starting ninety per cent of the way
to the finish line.
Behe’s main claim is that cells are
complex not just in degree but in kind. Cells contain structures that
are “irreducibly complex.” This means that if you remove any single
part from such a structure, the structure no longer functions. Behe
offers a simple, nonbiological example of an irreducibly complex
object: the mousetrap. A mousetrap has several parts—platform, spring,
catch, hammer, and hold-down bar—and all of them have to be in place
for the trap to work. If you remove the spring from a mousetrap, it
isn’t slightly worse at killing mice; it doesn’t kill them at all. So,
too, with the bacterial flagellum, Behe argues. This flagellum is a
tiny propeller attached to the back of some bacteria. Spinning at more
than twenty thousand r.p.m.s, it motors the bacterium through its
aquatic world. The flagellum comprises roughly thirty different
proteins, all precisely arranged, and if any one of them is removed the
flagellum stops spinning.
In “Darwin’s Black Box,” Behe
maintained that irreducible complexity presents Darwinism with
“unbridgeable chasms.” How, after all, could a gradual process of
incremental improvement build something like a flagellum, which needs all
its parts in order to work? Scientists, he argued, must face up to the
fact that “many biochemical systems cannot be built by natural
selection working on mutations.” In the end, Behe concluded that
irreducibly complex cells arise the same way as irreducibly complex
mousetraps—someone designs them. As he put it in a recent Times
Op-Ed piece: “If it looks, walks, and quacks like a duck, then, absent
compelling evidence to the contrary, we have warrant to conclude it’s a
duck. Design should not be overlooked simply because it’s so obvious.”
In “Darwin’s Black Box,” Behe speculated that the designer might have
assembled the first cell, essentially solving the problem of
irreducible complexity, after which evolution might well have proceeded
by more or less conventional means. Under Behe’s brand of creationism,
you might still be an ape that evolved on the African savanna; it’s
just that your cells harbor micro-machines engineered by an unnamed
intelligence some four billion years ago.
But Behe’s
principal argument soon ran into trouble. As biologists pointed out,
there are several different ways that Darwinian evolution can build
irreducibly complex systems. In one, elaborate structures may evolve
for one reason and then get co-opted for some entirely different,
irreducibly complex function. Who says those thirty flagellar proteins
weren’t present in bacteria long before bacteria sported flagella? They
may have been performing other jobs in the cell and only later got
drafted into flagellum-building. Indeed, there’s now strong evidence
that several flagellar proteins once played roles in a type of
molecular pump found in the membranes of bacterial cells.
Behe
doesn’t consider this sort of “indirect” path to irreducible
complexity—in which parts perform one function and then switch to
another—terribly plausible. And he essentially rules out the
alternative possibility of a direct Darwinian path: a path, that is, in
which Darwinism builds an irreducibly complex structure while selecting
all along for the same biological function. But biologists have shown
that direct paths to irreducible complexity are possible, too. Suppose
a part gets added to a system merely because the part improves the
system’s performance; the part is not, at this stage, essential for
function. But, because subsequent evolution builds on this addition, a
part that was at first just advantageous might become
essential. As this process is repeated through evolutionary time, more
and more parts that were once merely beneficial become necessary. This
idea was first set forth by H. J. Muller, the Nobel Prize-winning
geneticist, in 1939, but it’s a familiar process in the development of
human technologies. We add new parts like global-positioning systems to
cars not because they’re necessary but because they’re nice. But no one
would be surprised if, in fifty years, computers that rely on G.P.S.
actually drove our cars. At that point, G.P.S. would no longer be an
attractive option; it would be an essential piece of automotive
technology. It’s important to see that this process is thoroughly
Darwinian: each change might well be small and each represents an
improvement.
Design theorists have made some concessions to
these criticisms. Behe has confessed to “sloppy prose” and said he
hadn’t meant to imply that irreducibly complex systems “by definition”
cannot evolve gradually. “I quite agree that my argument against
Darwinism does not add up to a logical proof,” he says—though he
continues to believe that Darwinian paths to irreducible complexity are
exceedingly unlikely. Behe and his followers now emphasize that, while
irreducibly complex systems can in principle evolve, biologists can’t
reconstruct in convincing detail just how any such system did evolve.
What
counts as a sufficiently detailed historical narrative, though, is
altogether subjective. Biologists actually know a great deal about the
evolution of biochemical systems, irreducibly complex or not. It’s
significant, for instance, that the proteins that typically make up the
parts of these systems are often similar to one another. (Blood
clotting—another of Behe’s examples of irreducible complexity—involves
at least twenty proteins, several of which are similar, and all of
which are needed to make clots, to localize or remove clots, or to
prevent the runaway clotting of all blood.) And biologists understand
why these proteins are so similar. Each gene in an organism’s genome
encodes a particular protein. Occasionally, the stretch of DNA that
makes up a particular gene will get accidentally copied, yielding a
genome that includes two versions of the gene. Over many generations,
one version of the gene will often keep its original function while the
other one slowly changes by mutation and natural selection, picking up
a new, though usually related, function. This process of “gene
duplication” has given rise to entire families of proteins that have
similar functions; they often act in the same biochemical pathway or
sit in the same cellular structure. There’s no doubt that gene
duplication plays an extremely important role in the evolution of
biological complexity.
It’s true that when you confront
biologists with a particular complex structure like the flagellum they
sometimes have a hard time saying which part appeared before which
other parts. But then it can be hard, with any complex historical
process, to reconstruct the exact order in which events occurred,
especially when, as in evolution, the addition of new parts encourages
the modification of old ones. When you’re looking at a bustling urban
street, for example, you probably can’t tell which shop went into
business first. This is partly because many businesses now depend on
each other and partly because new shops trigger changes in old ones
(the new sushi place draws twenty-somethings who demand wireless
Internet at the café next door). But it would be a little rash
to
conclude that all the shops must have begun business on the same day or
that some Unseen Urban Planner had carefully determined just which
business went where.
The
other leading theorist of the new creationism, William A. Dembski,
holds a Ph.D. in mathematics, another in philosophy, and a master of
divinity in theology. He has been a research professor in the
conceptual foundations of science at Baylor University, and was
recently appointed to the new Center for Science and Theology at
Southern Baptist Theological Seminary. (He is a longtime senior fellow
at the Discovery Institute as well.) Dembski publishes at a staggering
pace. His books—including “The Design Inference,” “Intelligent
Design,” “No Free Lunch,” and “The Design Revolution”—are
generally well written and packed with provocative ideas.
According
to Dembski, a complex object must be the result of intelligence if it
was the product neither of chance nor of necessity. The novel “Moby
Dick,” for example, didn’t arise by chance (Melville didn’t scribble
random letters), and it wasn’t the necessary consequence of a physical
law (unlike, say, the fall of an apple). It was, instead, the result of
Melville’s intelligence. Dembski argues that there is a reliable way to
recognize such products of intelligence in the natural world. We can
conclude that an object was intelligently designed, he says, if it
shows “specified complexity”—complexity that matches an “independently
given pattern.” The sequence of letters “jkxvcjudoplvm”
is certainly complex: if you randomly type thirteen letters, you are
very unlikely to arrive at this particular sequence. But it isn’t specified:
it doesn’t match any independently given sequence of letters. If, on
the other hand, I ask you for the first sentence of “Moby Dick” and you
type the letters “callmeishmael,” you
have produced something that is both complex and specified. The
sequence you typed is unlikely to arise by chance alone, and it matches
an independent target sequence (the one written by Melville). Dembski
argues that specified complexity, when expressed mathematically,
provides an unmistakable signature of intelligence. Things like “callmeishmael,”
he points out, just don’t arise in the real world without acts of
intelligence. If organisms show specified complexity, therefore, we can
conclude that they are the handiwork of an intelligent agent.
For
Dembski, it’s telling that the sophisticated machines we find in
organisms match up in astonishingly precise ways with recognizable
human technologies. The eye, for example, has a familiar, cameralike
design, with recognizable parts—a pinhole opening for light, a lens,
and a surface on which to project an image—all arranged just as a human
engineer would arrange them. And the flagellum has a motor design, one
that features recognizable O-rings, a rotor, and a drive shaft.
Specified complexity, he says, is there for all to see.
Dembski’s
second major claim is that certain mathematical results cast doubt on
Darwinism at the most basic conceptual level. In 2002, he focussed on
so-called No Free Lunch, or N.F.L., theorems, which were derived in the
late nineties by the physicists David H. Wolpert and William G.
Macready. These theorems relate to the efficiency of different “search
algorithms.” Consider a search for high ground on some unfamiliar,
hilly terrain. You’re on foot and it’s a moonless night; you’ve got two
hours to reach the highest place you can. How to proceed? One sensible
search algorithm might say, “Walk uphill in the steepest possible
direction; if no direction uphill is available, take a couple of steps
to the left and try again.” This algorithm insures that you’re
generally moving upward. Another search algorithm—a so-called blind
search algorithm—might say, “Walk in a random direction.” This would
sometimes take you uphill but sometimes down. Roughly, the N.F.L.
theorems prove the surprising fact that, averaged over all possible
terrains, no search algorithm is better than any other. In some
landscapes, moving uphill gets you to higher ground in the allotted
time, while in other landscapes moving randomly does, but on average
neither outperforms the other.
Now, Darwinism can be
thought of as a search algorithm. Given a problem—adapting to a new
disease, for instance—a population uses the Darwinian algorithm of
random mutation plus natural selection to search for a solution (in
this case, disease resistance). But, according to Dembski, the N.F.L.
theorems prove that this Darwinian algorithm is no better than any
other when confronting all possible problems. It follows that, over
all, Darwinism is no better than blind search, a process of utterly
random change unaided by any guiding force like natural selection.
Since we don’t expect blind change to build elaborate machines showing
an exquisite coördination of parts, we have no right to expect
Darwinism to do so, either. Attempts to sidestep this problem by, say,
carefully constraining the class of challenges faced by organisms
inevitably involve sneaking in the very kind of order that we’re trying
to explain—something Dembski calls the displacement problem. In the
end, he argues, the N.F.L. theorems and the displacement problem mean
that there’s only one plausible source for the design we find in
organisms: intelligence. Although Dembski is somewhat noncommittal, he
seems to favor a design theory in which an intelligent agent programmed
design into early life, or even into the early universe. This design
then unfolded through the long course of evolutionary time, as microbes
slowly morphed into man.
Dembski’s arguments have been met
with tremendous enthusiasm in the I.D. movement. In part, that’s
because an innumerate public is easily impressed by a bit of
mathematics. Also, when Dembski is wielding his equations, he gets to
play the part of the hard scientist busily correcting the errors of
those soft-headed biologists. (Evolutionary biology actually features
an extraordinarily sophisticated body of mathematical theory, a fact
not widely known because neither of evolution’s great
popularizers—Richard Dawkins and the late Stephen Jay Gould—did much
math.) Despite all the attention, Dembski’s mathematical claims about
design and Darwin are almost entirely beside the point.
The
most serious problem in Dembski’s account involves specified
complexity. Organisms aren’t trying to match any “independently given
pattern”: evolution has no goal, and the history of life isn’t trying
to get anywhere. If building a sophisticated structure like an eye
increases the number of children produced, evolution may well build an
eye. But if destroying a sophisticated structure like the eye increases
the number of children produced, evolution will just as happily destroy
the eye. Species of fish and crustaceans that have moved into the total
darkness of caves, where eyes are both unnecessary and costly, often
have degenerate eyes, or eyes that begin to form only to be covered by
skin—crazy contraptions that no intelligent agent would design. Despite
all the loose talk about design and machines, organisms aren’t striving
to realize some engineer’s blueprint; they’re striving (if they can be
said to strive at all) only to have more offspring than the next fellow.
Another
problem with Dembski’s arguments concerns the N.F.L. theorems. Recent
work shows that these theorems don’t hold in the case of co-evolution,
when two or more species evolve in response to one another. And most
evolution is surely co-evolution. Organisms do not spend most of their
time adapting to rocks; they are perpetually challenged by, and
adapting to, a rapidly changing suite of viruses, parasites, predators,
and prey. A theorem that doesn’t apply to these situations is a theorem
whose relevance to biology is unclear. As it happens, David Wolpert,
one of the authors of the N.F.L. theorems, recently denounced Dembski’s
use of those theorems as “fatally informal and imprecise.” Dembski’s
apparent response has been a tactical retreat. In 2002, Dembski
triumphantly proclaimed, “The No Free Lunch theorems dash any hope of
generating specified complexity via evolutionary algorithms.” Now he
says, “I certainly never argued that the N.F.L. theorems provide a
direct refutation of Darwinism.”
Those of us who have
argued with I.D. in the past are used to such shifts of emphasis. But
it’s striking that Dembski’s views on the history of life contradict
Behe’s. Dembski believes that Darwinism is incapable of building
anything interesting; Behe seems to believe that, given a cell,
Darwinism might well have built you and me. Although proponents of I.D.
routinely inflate the significance of minor squabbles among
evolutionary biologists (did the peppered moth evolve dark color as a
defense against birds or for other reasons?), they seldom acknowledge
their own, often major differences of opinion. In the end, it’s hard to
view intelligent design as a coherent movement in any but a political
sense.
It’s also hard to view it as a real research
program. Though people often picture science as a collection of clever
theories, scientists are generally staunch pragmatists: to scientists,
a good theory is one that inspires new experiments and provides
unexpected insights into familiar phenomena. By this standard,
Darwinism is one of the best theories in the history of science: it has
produced countless important experiments (let’s re-create a natural
species in the lab—yes, that’s been done) and sudden insight into once
puzzling patterns (that’s why there are no
native land mammals on oceanic islands). In the nearly ten years since
the publication of Behe’s book, by contrast, I.D. has inspired no
nontrivial experiments and has provided no surprising insights into
biology. As the years pass, intelligent design looks less and less like
the science it claimed to be and more and more like an extended
exercise in polemics.
In
1999, a document from the Discovery Institute was posted, anonymously,
on the Internet. This Wedge Document, as it came to be called,
described not only the institute’s long-term goals but its strategies
for accomplishing them. The document begins by labelling the idea that
human beings are created in the image of God “one of the bedrock
principles on which Western civilization was built.” It goes on to
decry the catastrophic legacy of Darwin, Marx, and Freud—the alleged
fathers of a “materialistic conception of reality” that eventually
“infected virtually every area of our culture.” The mission of the
Discovery Institute’s scientific wing is then spelled out: “nothing
less than the overthrow of materialism and its cultural legacies.” It
seems fair to conclude that the Discovery Institute has set its sights
a bit higher than, say, reconstructing the origins of the bacterial
flagellum.
The intelligent-design community is usually far
more circumspect in its pronouncements. This is not to say that it
eschews discussion of religion; indeed, the intelligent-design
literature regularly insists that Darwinism represents a thinly veiled
attempt to foist a secular religion—godless materialism—on Western
culture. As it happens, the idea that Darwinism is yoked to atheism,
though popular, is also wrong. Of the five founding fathers of
twentieth-century evolutionary biology—Ronald Fisher, Sewall Wright, J.
B. S. Haldane, Ernst Mayr, and Theodosius Dobzhansky—one was a devout
Anglican who preached sermons and published articles in church
magazines, one a practicing Unitarian, one a dabbler in Eastern
mysticism, one an apparent atheist, and one a member of the Russian
Orthodox Church and the author of a book on religion and science. Pope
John Paul II himself acknowledged, in a 1996 address to the Pontifical
Academy of Sciences, that new research “leads to the recognition of the
theory of evolution as more than a hypothesis.” Whatever larger
conclusions one thinks should follow from
Darwinism, the historical fact is that evolution and religion have
often coexisted. As the philosopher Michael Ruse observes, “It is
simply not the case that people take up evolution in the morning, and
become atheists as an encore in the afternoon.”
Biologists
aren’t alarmed by intelligent design’s arrival in Dover and elsewhere
because they have all sworn allegiance to atheistic materialism;
they’re alarmed because intelligent design is junk science. Meanwhile,
more than eighty per cent of Americans say that God either created
human beings in their present form or guided their development. As a
succession of intelligent-design proponents appeared before the Kansas
State Board of Education earlier this month, it was possible to wonder
whether the movement’s scientific coherence was beside the point.
Intelligent design has come this far by faith. 