Working Papers and Recent Publications

Projections and forecasting in federal agencies

Managing Uncertainty: The Bias and Efficiency of Federal Macroeconomic Forecasts
(Updated version published in the Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory )

Explaining Bureaucratic Optimism: Theory and Evidence from U.S. Federal Executive Agency Macroeconomic Forecasts. With George Krause.
(Updated version published in the American Political Science Review )

Monetary Policy

What can the Taylor rule tell us about monetary politics?
(Midwest Political Science Association Conference Paper 2006)

Representative Control of Monetary Policy: Do Hearings Matter?
(Midwest Political Science Association Conference Paper 1999)

Monetary Policy and Central Bank Autonomy: Global Ideas and Local Politics
(Working Paper)

Women and the Vote

Political Context and the Turnout of New Women Voters after Suffrage. With Christina Wolbrecht
(Updated version publised in the Journal of Politics )

Higher Education

College financing and persistence to the second year. With Kathyrn Corder and Tracey Pattok
(Association for Institutional Research Forum Paper 2005)