Middle East Part 2

MIDDLE EAST PART 2

VIII. The Contemporary Middle East and the Role of the U.S.

A. Key Role in the World Economy: _________
1. most of the world’s ________________________________ from the Middle East
2. ________________________________ developed by British, French, Italian and especially U.S. oil companies beginning in the 1910s
3. by the 1950s and 1960s, the Middle East was the center of the world ___________________, the world’s largest and most important industry
B. The Core’s Worries About ___________________
1. ____________________________ in the Middle East has threatened the core’s oil supplies since the 1920s
2. British and French ______________________ and, after World War II, U.S. ___________________ with Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, _________ until 1979, and ______ in the 1980s exchanged ______________________________________ support for oil security
C. The _____________ Crisis of 1956
1. Nasser of Egypt _____________________ the Suez Canal in 1956, the major oil route to Europe, ending British control
2. British and French ________________ to maintain control over canal opposed by _______________________
3. this cost Britain and France ___________________________ and made the U.S. the leading _____________________ in the Middle East
4. _____________ sought to form alliances with Egypt and other Middle Eastern nations
D. The Formation of ___________
1. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Middle Eastern _______________
_______________________________) formed in 1960 because major oil TNCs paid _________________ to producing countries and had complete control over ________
2. OPEC sought to increase ___________________________________ of producing oil
3. OPEC nations ________________ (government took away oil TNCs ownership rights) oil production inside their borders in the ________________
D.4. U.S. support for ______________ in 1973 war with Arab neighbors led to ________________________ by OPEC nations
5. _________________________ leads to skyrocketing prices in core, high inflation, high unemployment, and recession

6. Iranian Revolution in 1979 causes second _______________________, creating another _________________ in early 1980s in the core

E. The Iranian Revolution of 1979
1. Shiite religious leaders, led by exiled Ayatollah Khomeini, force the ___________________________
2. Ayatollah Khomeini becomes ___________________________ for several years as new parliamentary government with laws based on ______________________________ is established
3. Blame for ___________________ of most Iranians and the wasting of ___________________________ placed on the Shah and the U.S., the Shah’s main supporter because of his efforts to protect U.S. access to the region’s oil
E.4. After Shah is admitted to the U.S. for cancer treatment during his exile from Iran, militants seize the U.S. Embassy in Tehran and hold _____________________________________________________
5. Rescue attempts and diplomatic efforts fail
6. Hostages released on the day Pres. Reagan was inaugurated, and there is still controversy over whether this was to establish ________________________________________, or if there had been __________________ between the new administration and the Ayatollah
F. U.S. Middle East Strategy 1979-Present
1. promote ______________ oil production, despite very _______________ (Alaskan oil10-15 times more expensive than Middle Eastern oil) and negative _____________ impacts (Exxon Valdez oil tanker disaster, ecosystem destruction)
2. ally with _____________ during Iran-Iraq War in 1980s, supplying Saddam Hussein with weapons, including the __________________________
E.3. ally with Saudi Arabia to keep _____________________________________ in power to maintain oil exports
4. ______________________ Affair: secretly selling weapons to ___________, despite ___________________ and formal ban on relations with __________, to maintain balance of power in Iran-Iraq War and finance _______________________ in Nicaragua
5. promote _______________ between Israel and Egypt, Jordan, Palestinians, and other neighbors to repair damaged relations from 1973 War
6. Support Islamic resistance groups fighting against __________________________________________; Osama bin Laden joined this effort and recruited thousands of Muslims __________________________ to fight the Soviets, forming the basis of his current network
a. resistance victory destroyed the _______________________________
G. Living Standards in the Middle East
1. U.S. stereotype of a ________________________________________
2. As the following table shows, the region is ________________________________, and even the ______________ nations are far below U.S., Japanese and European levels

GNP Per Capita Life Expectancy

a. Core (US$) Males/Females
U.S. 30,600 74/80
Japan 32,230 77/84
b. Semi-periphery
Brazil 4,420 63/71
c. Periphery
Congo 670 46/51
Rwanda 250 40/42

World Average 4,890 65/69

Middle East 2,060 66/69
Egypt 1,400 65/68
Iran 1,760 70/72
Jordan 1,500 69/73
Lebanon 3,700 68/72
Pakistan 470 61/63
Saudi Arabia 3,000-9,000 (range) 70/74
Syria 970 67/72
Yemen 350 55/56
Source: World Bank World Development Report 200/2001: www.worldbank.org

VIII. The Contemporary Middle East

G.3. Why is there so much poverty, despite many billions of dollars spent on oil products every year?
a. most nations do not have extensive ______________________________________
b. a significant share of oil revenue is diverted by __________________________________________________ in oil producing nations
c. from the perspective of most of the region’s residents, the explanation is a combination of the profits of __________________________________, low cost oil for U.S., European and Japanese ___________________, and theft by elites who do not _____________________________________________, meaning that very few benefits return to the vast majority of the region’s population

IX. Israel and Palestine

A. Fundamental Conflict: Both Groups Want The _____________________
1. ______________ people expelled from homeland in Palestine by ______________ 2000 years ago
2. some went to ____________ (Ashkenazi) and some to other parts of the __________________________ (Sephardim)
3. ________________ people settled in region during periods of control by Roman, Byzantine, Crusader, and Ottoman conquerors
B. The Rise of __________________ in Europe
1. long history of _____________________ (hatred and persecution of Jews) by European ______________________, other European ______________________ groups, and European nationalist movements and governments that blamed ___________________________________ problems (_________________)
2. intensification of _________________ in late 1800s, including _______________ in France and pogroms (___________________________) in Russia and other parts of Eastern Europe
B.3. leading Jewish intellectuals and businessmen began to believe that Jews could never ____________________ in Europe and proposed ________________: the movement to create a ________________________
4. __________________________ movement considered creating the Jewish nation in _______________________________, in addition to in the ancestral homeland of __________________
C. Jewish __________________ to Palestine, Late 1800s-1940s
1. Zionist leaders secure support of _______________, the leading colonial power in the Middle East, for _____________________ from Europe to Palestine in late 1800s
2. thousands of Jewish __________________________________________ migrate to Palestine with support from Zionist movement in the first half of the 1900s
C.3. Nazi Germany’s _________________ efforts to murder all Jews in Europe in early 1940s kill six million Jews who were ___________________ for Germany’s poverty and military weakness after losing World War I
4. British, U.S. and other Allies knew about the Holocaust by ____________, but did little to help ____________________________________
5. British and U.S. _____________ about the Holocaust and fear of ______________ in the Middle East led the core powers to allow _________________________ of Jews into Palestine after World War II
D. The Founding of Israel
1. ____________________ left Palestine in 1948 as part of United Nations effort to ________________ Palestine between Jews and Palestinians
2. ____________________________________ Jewish militia defeated Palestinians and Arab nations in a war that began when the British left
3. Jewish forces captured most of _________________ and forced hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to ___________ to neighboring nations via actual and threatened ____________________ of Palestinian villages
E. Israeli-Arab Conflicts
1. Palestine is important to other Arab nations because it links eastern and western ______________ of the Middle East and because Jerusalem is the location of one of ___________________________
2. Arab nations have not been ______________ in opposition to Israel because of ____________ between the Arab nations and difficult relations between other Arab nations and the __________________________
E.3. Arab nations united for __________________________ Israel in 1948, 1956, 1967, and 1973
4. Israel ______________________ in 1982 to eliminate threat from Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) and other groups based in Lebanon
5. each conflict resulted in Arab __________________, large __________________ by Israel, and either Palestinian ____________________ the Israeli advance or being ______________________ by Israel (e.g. 1967 war captured West Bank, Gaza and Golan Heights)
E.6. Peace treaty with _________________ signed in 1979
a. Israel returned ____________________ captured in 1973
b. Egypt sells ___________________ to Israel at a discount and has established diplomatic and trade relations
c. President Sadat of Egypt _________________ for making peace
7. Peace treaty with ____________ signed in 1994
a. Israel returned conquered areas of ________________
b. Israel agreed to share Jordan ________________ with Jordan, but reneged during current ______________
F. Israeli Politics: ___________________________ system with a large number of ______________
1. _________________ movement to create a Jewish state and _________________ (Labor) government policies that focused on increasing ________________________ provided unity until 1970s
2. divisions between major ___________________:
a. ___________________: Jewish in their traditions, history and faith, but modify their religious practices to conform to the demands of modern life and thought; the large _______________ of the population
F.2.b. _______________________: strictly observe the rules and social practices of Judaism and live in their own separate neighborhoods within cities; a _____________ of the population
c. _____________________ have been successful in imposing their values as ______ because their _____________________ have been essential to political ___________ that allowed the Likud party to defeat Labor in elections
F.2.d. Ashkenazi (_________________) more prosperous vs. Sephardim (_________________________) less prosperous and often treated _______________
e. East European (___________________) vs. West European (_______________ in Europe) Ashkenazi
f. long time _______________ vs. ___________________ groups, especially from ________________ who are reluctant to integrate into mainstream Israeli society
3. 20% of population is ________________________ who are ________________ against by mainstream society
F.4. 200,000 Jewish settlers who live in areas that are supposed to become part of ______________ who oppose the peace process and __________________
5. Jewish _______________________ who favor _______________ the Palestinians from all of Israel and Palestine
6. The Palestinian Intifada (_______________): beginning in 1987, Palestinians in refugee camps conducted a sustained campaign of opposing Israeli occupation with both ________________ (refusing to pay taxes, strikes) and __________________ against the Israeli military and settlers

G. The Peace Process
1. ______________ government of Yitzhak Rabin elected in 1992 after 15 years of Likud government
2. Labor policy was to ________________________
3. 1993 Oslo Agreement between Israel and the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) called for a gradual transition to _________________________ in West Bank and Gaza
4. Rabin _____________________ by an Orthodox Jew in 1995 after an anti-Rabin campaign by ____________________ leaders; assassin applauded by _____________________
G.5. election of Likud government of Netanyahu in 1996 brought ________________
_____________ and intensified conflict between ________________
6. ________________ of peace negotiations and what many Palestinians regard as the ________________________________ to gain independence by Yassir Arafat and the PLO (now the Palestinian Authority, PA) led to a return to _______________ by Hamas and other Palestinian groups who advocate _________________ against Israel and its supporters, including the ___________
H. The Ongoing Crisis and the End of the Peace Process?
1. Barak and One Israel (former Labor) Party won 1999 election on platform of __________________________________, but had to form coalition with _________ __________________ parties to get a majority in parliament
2. transfer of _________, and especially of part of _______________, to Palestinians bitterly opposed by ________________________________________ parties
H.3. visit by Ariel ______________, leader of Likud, to Jerusalem in 2000 triggered current wave of _______________
4. most Palestinians in West Bank and Gaza still live in _______________ with poor sanitation, inadequate water supplies, and few ____________________ opportunities seven years after the peace process began, a source of ___________________
5. ________________ Palestinians, mainly _______ members who returned to form the PA government, have _________________________________ than families that have lived in refugee camps for 30-50 years
H.6. ___________ visit to Jerusalem as a symbol of Israeli refusal to complete the peace process, Arafat’s refusal to ______________________ an independent Palestinian state, and continued poor ___________________ reignited the Intifada
7. More than 1,000 Palestinians, including dozens of children, and several hundred Israelis, again including dozens of children, have been killed since this conflict effectively degenerated into a civil war between Israel and the Palestinians and between the two main Palestinian factions, _______________ and ________________, in 2004
8. Barak’s coalition government ______________________ because of continued conflict, and Sharon won the election for _________________________ in February 2001 and formed a __________________________ ; recently _________ despite ____________ charges and worries over new violence
H.9. Sharon proposed plans to "______________________" Israel and Palestine
a. maintaining ______________________________ over the major settlements in the West Bank, building _______________________ that separate Palestinian areas in the West Bank into four ________________________, closing Israel’s ______________ to Palestinian trade and workers, and retaining Israeli control over almost all ______________ (the region’s most valuable resource)
b. Video: "The Palestinian-Israeli Conflict": What is life like in Palestine?

H.9.c. 25% of Palestine’s workforce and GDP come from __________________ in Israel, almost all of its _______________ go to Israel, and _____________________ areas developed since 1993 in Palestine attract mainly Israeli customers
d. under separation, Palestine’s economy would _____________________
e. opposition to separation comes from ____________________________________, who have become ______________________ in many projects, including __________
f. conflict will not end with an _____________________________
H.10. Efforts by the Israeli government as part of what it considers its "_________________" focused on getting the Palestinian Authority led by Arafat to arrest militants and, if that failed, to arrest or kill militant leaders via ___________________________

IX. Iraq

A. Historical Characteristics
1. site of first __________ more than 5,000 years ago
2. center of _____________________ from 750-1258 A.D.
3. seized from ___________________ by British in WW I
4. British established an Iraqi monarchy in 1932 as a ___________________ to protect British _________________________
5. Iraqi monarchy overthrown by ____________ in 1958
6. Ba’th Party coup in 1968 established ___________________________; Saddam Hussein president since 1970s
B. The Iran-Iraq War
1. Iraq _________________ Iran in 1980
2. war resulted from:
a. historical _____________________________
b. longstanding __________________________ disputes
c. Shah of Iran’s support for ____________________________ in Iraq
d. Sunni (_______________) vs. Shiite (__________ after the 1979 revolution removed the Shah and Ayatollah Khomeini gained power)
e. hatred between Saddam Hussein and Khomeini
B.2.f. ________________ (Iraq) vs. __________________ (Iran) models of political authority and social development
g. ___________________ of Iran after Revolution
3. repeated invasions and shifting _______________________ during the decade of war
4. Iraq sought to stop Iranian oil exports by ________________________
5. U.S. secretly supported Iran via _______________________________ to allow Iran to fight Iraqi efforts to stop oil shipments
B.6. long war ended in 1990 with _______________________ and millions of soldiers and civilians dead on both sides
a. Iran agreed to remain __________________ in Gulf War
C. The Gulf War
1. Iraq ___________________________ Kuwait in August 1990
C.2. caused by long disputes over:
a. _______________________________ quotas (Kuwait routinely exceeded its OPEC oil quota, holding down oil prices)
b. ____________________________ from the jointly controlled Neutral Zone between Iraq and Kuwait that had been created by ______________________ 70 years earlier
c. repayment of _____________________ to Kuwait from borrowing to finance the Iran-Iraq War
C.3. __________________ divided between Iraq and Kuwait in the conflict
4. Operation Desert Storm in January 1991 destroyed much of the ______________ in three weeks and freed Kuwait
5. Former President Bush __________________________ without conquering Iraq or removing Saddam Hussein from power: Why?
C.5.a. U.S. was trying to maintain Iraq as a ________________________ to Iranian power in the region (fear of a potential spread of _________________________ against the core and its allies, especially Saudi Arabia)
b. U.S. assumed that the complete military defeat would lead to an _________________ of Hussein
c. U.S. badly underestimated the power of ______________________________ and its ability to ____________________ internal opposition
d. Hussein can claim that he ______________________________ and kept Iraq free from ___________________________
D. Iraq from the Gulf War to Early 2003
1. U.N. ___________________ on trade with Iraq imposed and maintained
2. ongoing dispute over whether Iraqi ________________________________ programs and facilities were eliminated kept __________________________, with only limited oil sales to buy food, medicine and other essential imports permitted
3. _____________, a distinct ethnic group in northern Iraq repeatedly attacked since 1960s, again sought and failed to gain independence
D.4. ___________________ established by U.S. and British in northern and southern Iraq, nominally to protect _____________ in the north and ___________________ in the south who opposed the Iraqi government but also to maintain _________________________
5. U.S. and British Air Forces continue to _________________________ until 2003
6. U.S. repeatedly tried to aid _________________________ to remove Saddam Hussein from power (Kurds, other ethnic groups, political rivals), but all efforts failed
D.7. Hussein’s efforts to eliminate _____________________________ killed hundreds of thousands of civilians
8. the U.N. embargo caused ____________________________ for Iraqi children, and 500,000 _______________________________ illnesses due to the embargo
9. there was little prospect of Hussein ____________________ or of the U.N. significantly _____________________________ before the current war began in 2003
10. Possible support for _______________________ bombing in 1993 suspected but not proven
11. Iraq and Iran (and North Korea) were defined as the "_______________________" and Iran and North Korea may become the next military targets for the U.S. in the "war on terror"
E. The U.S.-led Invasion and Occupation since March 2003
1. little evidence of connections to ______________ groups and operations, and especially not to ________
a. Hussein was regarded as an _______________ (does not follow the teachings of Islam) in the eyes of bin Laden and many other Muslims because of the ______________ ideology of the Ba’ath Party and his violence against other Muslims and civilians
2. our major ally, Great Britain, was the old ________________________ who created Iraq; how was this likely to be perceived by the people of the Middle East?
3. an invasion can motivate even those who dislike a leader/political system to fight to defend them in the name of nationalism and independence against what is seen as an ___________________________ to take political and economic control
E.4. Iran, Syria, North Korea and other potential targets of this redefined “war on terrorism” are ____________________________ from war in Iraq
a. train and motivate _________________; hide as civilians; avoid mass battles; suicide attacks; _______________ your chemical, biological and nuclear weapons now before outside intervention occurs; use growing global anti-American/anti-imperialist sentiment to your advantage, especially in potential rivals in Europe, Russia and China; build underground facilities for protection
5. the __________________ within the U.S. because of our invasion of Iraq and the losses and treatment of U.S. soldiers by our own government are painfully reminiscent of the Vietnam War era
a. threats to __________________________ and free speech, members of the military and their families who feel that protesters are against their loved ones, disinformation and propaganda campaigns by governments and groups in favor of and opposed to the war; inadequate _____________________ for soldiers; inadequate _____________________________ for soldiers
E.6. most of the world views the U.S. invasion as imperialism to assert U.S. _____________________ (political, military and economic dominance) over the rest of the world, especially potential rivals
a. policy document often cited as source of U.S. policy:
http://www.newamericancentury.org/RebuildingAmericasDefenses.pdf
b. the U.S. is clearly the world’s __________________________, but that does not mean all nations will agree with the U.S. about anything
c. U.S. historically opposed ________________________ (helped end colonialism in Africa), and most Americans have opposed efforts to create a U.S. empire in earlier periods
d. the age of imperialism ended in the ______________________________ (African decolonization, U.S. defeat in Vietnam)
e. no nation will tolerate the loss of ________________________________________ that being taken over by a larger power brings, even if the or a major goal is to eliminate a dictator, create a democracy, end a long war, or some other goal that in the abstract most would say is a “good thing”
E.7. the U.S. will be involved militarily, politically and economically in Iraq for a ___________________
a. our options for the future are ________________________: Iraq split into three states as it was under the Ottomans; Turkish seizure of Kurdish areas; Kurdish secession from Iraq and battles with Turkey and Iran for an independent nation; amalgamation politically with Jordan; U.S. and British military occupation and reconstruction; U.N. protectorate; long term guerrilla and/or terrorist armed resistance

XI. Conclusions and the Future

A. Historical Legacies that Shape the Present
1. Lack of __________ make this a focus of current (Israeli-Palestinian) and future conflicts
2. High degree of ________________________________ often masked to outsiders by common Islamic faith, but these intergroup conflicts make the stereotype of the "____________________________" meaningless for understanding internal conflicts and conflicts with the U.S. and Europe
3. The Islamic faith that is the region’s main unifying characteristic is interpreted ________________________- by various groups
4. Split of Sunni and Shiite within Islam creates conflict between _______________________
5. ____________ a powerful stereotype for the West, a powerful reality for many of the poor in the region, and a tool of many leaders in the region for _____________________________
A.6. __________________________ of the Islamic Empire and its subsequent decline relative to the West are key social facts for residents of the region; restoring the Islamic nations to their historical position is a _______________
7. __________________________ created client states and ruling families to protect oil exports, but these states are not seen as ____________________ by their residents; many regard these states as having sold out to the West
8. The Islamic faith provides a unifying force for _____________________ to reduce and eliminate what are seen as negative Western influences
9. Importance of the _____________________ means that the U.S., Europe and Japan must remain deeply involved in the region
A.10. __________________ degree of control over their oil makes the West vulnerable to supply and price shocks
11. ______________ Revolution and ______________________________ to governments of client states over the past two decades makes future conflicts very likely and stability uncertain
12. U.S. strategies to maintain access to oil have involved conflicting, shifting alliances, often with governments and groups who later __________________________ of the U.S. or that are later _____________ because they lack public support
13. Widespread ___________ and lack of support for ___________________ seen as profiteers and having sold out to the West creates the conditions for revolts, conflicts and terrorism
14. Seemingly unsolvable Israeli-Palestinian conflict the _________________ against the U.S. because of its support for Israel
A.15. Ongoing conflict in _____________ is another grievance between the region and the West
B. The Current War Against Terrorism
1. Reliance on allies threatened by _____________________: Pakistan, Saudi Arabia (from which much of the royal family is reported to have fled)
2. Plethora of potential _________________ in the region: Iraq, Iran, Libya, Syria, Yemen, many groups opposed to their own governments
3. Difficulty of ____________________________ those involved in the attacks on the U.S., despite the war in Afghanistan
4. _______________ of future terrorist actions: Sept. 11 attack likely to cost between $250,000 and $450,000; _________________________ will be difficult and not very likely to succeed
B.5. Many of the potential allies for the U.S. in this effort have their own ___________: e.g. Russia and China seeking to eliminate ________________________ they label "terrorists"
C. Alternatives for the Future?
1. Who is a terrorist and who is a ____________________________?
a. Great Britain and _______________________, Israel and the West and _______________________, Afghanistan and _____________________________?
2. How to eliminate the underlying conditions of poverty, lack of support for governments, and lack of hope for the future?

3. How to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

4. How to resolve the conflict in Iraq?

5. What should the U.S. do to deal with the conflicts in the region?